Iain Stewart - Newton
equities - high quality equities, stable, investmetn grade
debt - industries/companies etc where it makes sense to buy debt, high yield (BBB to B); not keen on govt bonds in main markets (except 'safe haven' like Norway, or somewhere where rates could fall like Australasia
because of volatility need some dry powder, so have some cash; emphasis on USD and safe haven currencies
David Millar - Standard Life
Still on risk-on/risk-off world - came into year with a bit more of a risk-on bias in our funds (looked good last year, but not so much now)
John Chatfeild-Roberts - CIO at Jupiter
risk is nothing to do with volatility, it's the permanent loss of cash
Delegate: will the gilt market ever return to sanity so that pensioners can get a decent income?
maybe it's part of the redistribution of wealth from current pensioners to next generation of pensioners? - DM Maybe it's a bit of an equalisation effect?
IS - Problem i have with manipulated bond markets is they manipulate everything.
Delegate: is it possible to run an absolute/total return fund without losing investors money?
DM - can't make any returns without taking element of risk. Can't guarantee won't lose money.
IS - agree. it's not possible to promise real returns. got to take risk in volatility terms
J C-R: very, very difficult thing to do to return an abs rtn fund. inflation worries me. might make an abs rtn but it might not be a real rtn. if buy a fund that says it's not going to go down, investor has a much lower pain threshold; if buy a fund that says it may go up or down, investor more
JCR - if ask man in the street what they want, he'll say he wants a top performer, that doesn't go down, that's guaranteed year after year after year. can't do that.
strategically/tactically allocating assets - many things now correlated -
DM - not a fan of asset allocation per se as it sets up restrictions straight away; prefer to look at
bonds have been the only diversifyer in weak times
there's a huge amount we don't know/can't predict - so have a spread of assets, try to use common sense, try not to put it all on red or black,
JCR: remember teachers when you were at school who enthused you? that's what we look for in copanies: managers that can lead copmanies forward.
£100k to invest, where would you put it for the next 10 years?
IS: high quality, global, div-yielding companies. problem is valuations high. high yield debt.
DM: risk, managed, diversified, but if have to pick one - i'm not a stock picker so stick at macro level; go for high yield as asset class
JCR - global, div paying, stable, high quality companies at lower level though. if i was american i'd go and buy a US residential property - going back up.
JCR - global high quality dividend companies with strong b/sheets, but would want to buy them at lower valuations than they are now
DM - high yield would probably be my risk asset of choice, taking some risk
IS - Bloody Ridiculous Investment Concept - growth in GDP terms doesn't necessarily