Rio Tinto's Iron Ore Still Leading the Way

Higher-than-expected fourth-quarter 2011 iron ore and coal production offset lacklustre base metals at Rio Tinto

Mark Taylor 19 January, 2012 | 2:21PM
Facebook Twitter LinkedIn

Our fiscal 2011 earnings forecast for Rio Tinto (RIO) is steady, with higher-than-expected fourth-quarter 2011 iron ore and coal production offsetting lacklustre base metals. Fourth-quarter iron ore volumes came in 3% ahead of third-quarter 2011, while coal production was 6% higher. The iron ore division accounts for 46% of our Rio Tinto valuation and more than two thirds of fiscal 2011 earnings. Coal is small in comparison at less than 10% of valuation and 5% of earnings. Our fiscal 2012 group earnings forecast is also steady. Iron ore contributes a reduced 54% of forecast fiscal 2012 earnings as improved base metals and energy contributions offset anticipated weakening iron ore pricing. CEO Tom Albanese characterized the second half of 2011 as bouncing back following severe weather in the first half. Most significantly impacted were iron ore, coal, and uranium. Following the fourth-quarter results announcement, our Rio Tinto valuation is little changed.

Morningstar Premium members gain exclusive access to our full Rio Tinto Analyst Report, including fair value estimate, bull and bear breakdowns, and risk analysis. Not a Premium member? Get these reports immediately when you try Morningstar Premium free for 14 days.

The information contained within is for educational and informational purposes ONLY. It is not intended nor should it be considered an invitation or inducement to buy or sell a security or securities noted within nor should it be viewed as a communication intended to persuade or incite you to buy or sell security or securities noted within. Any commentary provided is the opinion of the author and should not be considered a personalised recommendation. The information contained within should not be a person's sole basis for making an investment decision. Please contact your financial professional before making an investment decision.

Facebook Twitter LinkedIn

Securities Mentioned in Article

Security NamePriceChange (%)Morningstar
Rating
Rio Tinto PLC Registered Shares5,069.82 GBX-2.35Rating

About Author

Mark Taylor  is an equity analyst at Morningstar.

© Copyright 2024 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Terms of Use        Privacy Policy        Modern Slavery Statement        Cookie Settings        Disclosures