Not so long ago, we were members of a group of newly-employed friends who applauded ourselves for being responsible and choosing to make high automatic contributions to pension schemes. A few years later, we've hardly been rewarded for taking the 'prudent' route. Far from watching our savings grow, we've lost much of it.
For those of us in our twenties who are beginning to generate income and wondering how to make the most of our savings, the behaviour of the stock market during the past few years has been uninspiring to say the least. To start, the performance of domestic equities over the past 10 years has been unimpressive: the FTSE 100 index is down more than 38% over the period.
What's more, the precipitous market-wide downfall that characterised the second half of 2008 called into question for many the worth of diversification, as nearly all asset classes apart from government bonds suffered severe blows. This came as a shock to those who believed that diversification would help them avoid portfolio-wide stumbles. Furthermore, the deleterious and hard-to-predict impact that heavy-hitting, low-transparency vehicles such as hedge funds have had on the broader market recently, combined with the market's recent apparent disregard for company fundamentals, has left many less-sophisticated investors feeling as though the deck is stacked against them.
Yet investor sentiment often runs the most negative when it's most opportune to invest, and right now is shaping up as a golden opportunity for newbies. By many measures, stocks look cheap. Although they've been early, many of the fund managers with whom Morningstar analysts speak daily have been touting the cheapness of stocks for months.
Legendary American investor Warren Buffett agrees. The stock market cap/gross domestic product ratio that he uses to gauge the market's attractiveness indicates that as of March 2009, the total value of publicly-traded US stocks represented just more than 60% of that nation's GDP. At the end of 2007, by contrast, the stock market represented more than 140% of GDP. Buffett thinks that a higher ratio indicates overvaluation while a lower ratio indicates undervaluation.
For all of the uncertainties that plague the global market, the long-term upside potential appears to be there, and the rewards are apt to be particularly great for new investors who have many years to see their investments compound.
How to do it is the question. What follows is an introductory, though not exhaustive, explanation of some of the best ways to begin investing.
Index funds
One of the most difficult decisions in investing is what kind of stocks
to buy. Broadly diversified index funds make that decision easier by
giving you exposure to many different companies and industries in a
single fund. In addition to providing one-stop diversification, index
funds can also be cheap. Traditional index funds and exchange-traded
funds that track major indices typically cost much less than
actively-managed funds. Legal & General is an industry leader on the low-cost
index-fund front and offers them with relatively low minimums, which make it easier for new investors to dip their toes in
the water.
All-in-one funds
Generally speaking, those of us in the early stages of our investing
careers can tolerate higher stock allocations, which can present greater
downside risk but also greater return potential, because we have longer
time horizons over which to recoup our losses. Still, given the
behaviour of the stock market in recent years and the uncertainties that
do remain in the current downturn, new investors may be uncomfortable
having the bulk of their assets in stocks. All-in-one funds provide a
nice middle ground, giving you stock exposure but also muting volatility
with some bonds and cash. Target-date funds are an all-in-one,
low-maintenance way to shift from a higher to a lower stock allocation
over time as your risk tolerance decreases. Both target-date and
moderate-allocation funds tend to offer smoother rides than equity-only
funds and are good alternatives for those who would like to start
investing but are nervous about the downside risk of equities.
Pound-cost averaging
When to buy a particular stock or fund is another hot topic for
investors just starting out. It's a mistake to get too hung up trying to
buy and sell at the perfect time; the typical investor isn't any good at
calling the market's highs and lows. Pound-cost averaging, which is the
default investing method for most pension plans, is an easier way. Once
you've decided that a certain stock or fund is a good long-term fit for
you, pound-cost averaging enables you to invest in it gradually and
regularly over time. By investing uniform chunks of money at set
intervals, you reduce the chance that you'll be putting a lot of money
to work right before the market goes down. For a more in-depth
discussion of pound-cost averaging, click
here.
There is much more to investing than the simple tips laid forth here, such as navigating fund fee structures and understanding investment vehicles such as pension schemes, but these introductory guidelines are a good start for investors who are wary of the stock market and wondering how to make good, basic decisions at a time when opportunity is abundant.
