The concept of running investment funds on a style-consistent basis is taken seriously by fund management groups. Over 80% said keeping the investment style constant was important and 88% offer investors equity funds that provide style consistency along the lines of value/growth and small cap/large cap.
Manager sentiment was mixed as to whether investors were becoming increasingly interested in the idea of investment style. About 52% said they had seen a gr
owing interest over the last year. However, most managers – some 83% - said investors across Europe have enough choice of investment funds.
In terms of performance, growth-oriented funds were expected to outperform over the next 12 months. Some 57% favoured a growth investment style. Only 11% backed value shares to outperform and about a third were neutral.
Stockmarket performance
Although equity funds were expected to dominate new fund launches in the coming year managers have scaled back their expectations for global equity performance. In November 32% said they expected the MSCI World Index, in dollars, to rise between 0-5% in the next year. In October only 21% felt this way. The proportion saying the global stockmarket would rise 5-10% fell to 57%, from 67% in the previous month.
Sentiment towards Japan continued to improve. Over half of those surveyed said it would be the best performing market over the next year. Managers also predicted that the yen would be the top performing currency.
Some 40% of managers said America would be the worst performing region. The UK followed with almost a quarter saying it would offer the worst returns. In terms of currency preferences 47% said the dollar would be the weakest, followed by the euro with 32%.
Healthcare and Financial Services were expected to be the best performing sectors over the coming year by 28% and 19%, respectively. A third of managers said the Utilities sector would perform the worst.
Morningstar’s European offices conducted this survey from November 14th-21st. In total 44 fund management groups from 12 countries participated. On average they each managed €42 billion (£29 billion) and offered 105 retail funds.