Fund groups said that private investors do have a pronounced preference for investing with local fund companies but were split on the degree of this bias. Some 40% said the preference was very pronounced while 53% said it was just there to some extent.
Survey participants themselves operate in a number of markets with 72% s
aying they sell their funds across borders. About a quarter only focused on one market while 4% were planning to expand out of their home country within the next year. Of those that sell in multiple markets seven was the average number of markets the funds are sold in.
A further split between the production and distribution of investment funds was expected by almost all fund groups. This increased polarisation coupled with the difficulty groups may face from foreign competition could explain why 63% of managers said they foresee an increased number of mergers among fund management groups over the next year.
Fund launches
Overall most groups were planning to launch new funds in the next 12 months and 81% said the number of funds launched would be higher than the number closed. Equity funds topped expectations for which asset class would dominate fund launches. ‘Other’ – alternative – funds came in second place with 34%.
In terms of sector preferences healthcare received the most votes from managers with 34% saying it would be the top performer. Telecommunications came in a distant second with 13%. Utilities was expected to do the worst on a relative basis with 22% of the votes.
Currency predictions shifted significantly in this survey with only 24% saying the euro would be the top performer, a steep drop from 44% in April. The dollar and the yen tied for first place with 38% each – a huge improvement for the outlook on the dollar. Still half of those surveyed said the American currency would be the worst performing over the next year.
Morningstar’s European offices conducted the survey from May 13th-23rd. Some 49 fund groups from 13 countries participated. On average they each managed €53billion (£36 billion) and offered 97 retail funds.