Just Eat Takeaway Share Price Jumps 54% After Prosus Takeover Bid

75% chance of takeover deal going through, counterbids expected.

Robert van den Oever 25 February, 2025 | 10:30AM
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Narrow Moat Just Eat Takeaway’s TKWY shares made a spectacular jump of over 50% on Monday morning after Prosus' PRX bid for the food delivery giant valued it at some €4.1 billion.

Prosus is offering €20.30 per share of Just Eat Takeaway, representing a 63% premium to the closing price on Friday, Feb. 21.

The share price of Just Eat Takeaway rose over 50% immediately after the opening of stock market trading on Monday toward the bid amount and eventually closed at €19.15, up 54% from Friday. In contrast, the share price of investment company Prosus fell 6.8% on Monday and closed at €41.93.

The news also pulls up the other two meal delivery companies Morningstar tracks: Deliveroo ROO rose 4.6% on the London Stock Exchange and closed at GBX 141.80 and Delivery Hero DHER initially gained more than 5.4% in Frankfurt, but eventually closed 1% lower at €27.21.

Just Eat Takeaway.com Stock vs. Morningstar Fair Value Estimate

Source: Morningstar Direct. Data as of Feb. 24, 2025.

Morningstar analyst Verushka Shetty said in a comment, “We assign a 75% probability of the deal going through. With this, we lower our fair value estimate to EUR 24 per share, which assigns a 75% probability of the deal going through, while the remaining 25% probability stems from our standalone EUR 39 fair value estimate. Just Eat presents an attractive opportunity for multinational peers looking to expand their footprint in Europe and thus we expect counteroffers may arise.”

“The offer comes after a turbulent few years for Just Eat. Following the pandemic, online food delivery saw a massive pullback as consumers relied less on platforms as lockdowns eased. With this, Just Eat’s share price has dropped over 80% since its peak in 2021. Against this backdrop, Just Eat completed the sale of its US unit Grubhub for an enterprise value of $650 million in January 2025, a steep discount from the $7.3 billion Just Eat paid in 2020.”

“The deal complements Prosus’ online delivery footprint, including ownership of iFood in Latin America, a 28% stake in Delivery Hero, and a 25% stake in India-based Swiggy. We continue to see long-term growth in the global food and convenience delivery market; we expect the industry to expand 10%-15% annually through 2032.”

Annual Just Eat Takeaway Figures Meet Expectations

Just Eat Takeaway was actually supposed to announce its annual results next Wednesday, Feb. 26, but has already done so on Monday morning, along with the bid announcement. About that, Morningstar analyst Shetty said:

“Just Eat posted its 2024 results, which met guidance and our expectations. Constant-currency gross transaction value (excluding North America) increased 2% year over year and adjusted EBITDA came in at €460 million, up from €339 million in the year-ago period. For 2025, management expects year-over-year constant-currency gross transaction value growth (excluding the “rest of world” business segment) of 4%-8%, adjusted EBITDA between €360 million and €380 million, and free cash flow of €100 million.”


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Robert van den Oever  is Research Editor of Morningstar Benelux

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