11 Newly Overvalued Stocks for the Month

Updated for March 2025: Allianz Group and Societe Generale are among the stocks that are now expensive.

Bella Albrecht 21 March, 2025 | 11:06AM
Facebook Twitter LinkedIn

Collage illustration featuring a one-pound sterling coin, a ticker board showing a neutral market trend, and an office building.

Each month, we screen the Europe-listed stocks under Morningstar’s coverage for newly overvalued names.

Over the past month, 12 stocks saw their Morningstar Ratings change to 2 stars, while another two climbed into 1-star territory. Stocks rated 3 stars are fairly valued according to Morningstar analysts, while those rated 4 or 5 stars are considered undervalued.

For more information on the newly undervalued stocks, read our article.

The two new 1-star European stocks, ordered by market-cap, are:

• Talanx TLX

• Dassault Aviation AM

The five new 2-star European stocks with the largest market capitalization are:

• Kongsberg Gruppen KOG

• Allianz Group ALV

• Zurich Insurance Group ZURN

• KBC Group KBC

• Societe Generale GLE

The full list of new 2-star stocks can be found at the bottom of this story. All returns in this article are reported in the stock’s base currency and all data is sourced from Morningstar Direct.

Newly Overvalued Stocks as of March 18

The Morningstar Europe Index fell 0.25% over the past month, leaving the overall European stock market significantly undervalued, hovering at a 63% discount to its fair value estimate on a cap-weighted basis.

Of the 298 Europe-listed stocks covered by Morningstar analysts:

• 42% are undervalued, 39% are fairly valued, and 18% are overvalued.

• 13 are newly overvalued.

• 26 are newly undervalued.

• One moved from a 2-star rating to a 1-star rating.

• Among the newly overvalued stocks, one jumped from a 3-star rating to a 1-star rating.

• 21 are no longer overvalued.

Morningstar analysts assign every stock under their coverage a fair value estimate, which is an intrinsic measure of the stock’s worth, and an Uncertainty Rating, which captures the range of potential outcomes for that estimate. A higher Uncertainty Rating equates to a larger range of prices considered fairly valued.

These two metrics and the stock’s current price, are used to determine its Morningstar Rating.

Distribution of Star Ratings for Europe-Listed Stocks

Source: Morningstar Direct. Data as of March 18, 2025.

Metrics for this Month’s New 1-Star Stocks

Talanx TLX

• Morningstar Rating: ★

• One-Month Return: 9.74%

Insurance firm Talanx is up 17.29% over the past three months and 43.69% over the past year. The stock’s price is 44% above its fair value estimate of EUR 67, with an Uncertainty Rating of Medium. The large-core stock has no economic moat.

Dassault Aviation AM

• Morningstar Rating: ★

• One-Month Return: 35.62%

Aerospace and defense company Dassault Aviation has climbed 67.02% over the past three months and 78.12% over the past year. The stock is trading at a 39% premium to its fair value estimate of EUR 227, with an Uncertainty Rating of Medium. Dassault Aviation is a large-core company with a wide economic moat.

Metrics for this Month’s New 2-Star Stocks

Kongsberg Gruppen KOG

• Morningstar Rating: ★★

• One-Month Return: 29.00%

Aerospace and defense company Kongsberg Gruppen is up 25.86% over the past three months and 129.44% over the past year. The stock’s price is 26% above its fair value estimate of NOK 1,270, with an Uncertainty Rating of Medium. The large-growth stock has a wide economic moat.

Allianz Group ALV

• Morningstar Rating: ★★

• One-Month Return: 8.94%

Insurance firm Allianz has gained 20.40% over the past three months and 41.65% over the past year. The large-core stock has no economic moat. Allianz is trading at a 14% premium to its fair value estimate of EUR 315, with an Uncertainty Rating of Low.

Zurich Insurance Group ZURN

• Morningstar Rating: ★★

• One-Month Return: 6.57%

Insurance firm Zurich is up 10.81% over the past three months and 32.23% over the past year. The stock’s price is 12% above its fair value estimate of CHF 540, with an Uncertainty Rating of Low. The large-core stock has a narrow economic moat.

KBC Group KBC

• Morningstar Rating: ★★

• One-Month Return: 4.83%

The bank KBC has climbed 17.82% over the past three months and 35.77% over the past year. The stock is trading at a 20% premium to its fair value estimate of EUR 72, with an Uncertainty Rating of High. KBC is a large-value company with a narrow economic moat.

Societe Generale GLE

• Morningstar Rating: ★★

• One-Month Return: 12.49%

The bank Societe Generale has gained 58.67% over the past three months and 86.29% over the past year. The large-core stock has no economic moat. Societe Generale is trading at a 35% premium to its fair value estimate of EUR 31.70, with an Uncertainty Rating of Very High.


This article was generated with the help of automation and reviewed by Morningstar editors. Learn more about Morningstar’s use of automation.

The author or authors do not own shares in any securities mentioned in this article. Find out about Morningstar's editorial policies.

The information contained within is for educational and informational purposes ONLY. It is not intended nor should it be considered an invitation or inducement to buy or sell a security or securities noted within nor should it be viewed as a communication intended to persuade or incite you to buy or sell security or securities noted within. Any commentary provided is the opinion of the author and should not be considered a personalised recommendation. The information contained within should not be a person's sole basis for making an investment decision. Please contact your financial professional before making an investment decision.

Facebook Twitter LinkedIn

About Author

Bella Albrecht  is associate data journalist at Morningstar

© Copyright 2025 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Terms of Use        Privacy Policy        Modern Slavery Statement        Cookie Settings        Disclosures