Hefty Inflows in August as Investor Optimism Defies Volatility

Europe-domiciled long-term funds posted net inflows of €40.2 billion last month

Valerio Baselli 23 September, 2024 | 3:57PM
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Despite the extreme volatility seen at the start of August, investors continued to show positive sentiment, arguably driven by hopes of interest-rate cuts, and poured 40.2 billion (£33.5 billion) into long-term Europe-domiciled funds. This resulted in the second-best monthly flows in 2024 so far, bringing total net inflows to €243 billion in the year to date.

August was an eventful month for investors as stock markets endured a significant bout of volatility in the first week, amid worries about a US recession and the implications of a sharply strengthening Japanese yen. However, fears subsided as the month progressed, and global equities were able to gain 2.5% in the month (in US dollars), while global government bonds returned 1.0% (US dollars, hedged).

Investors Buy Bond And Passive Equity Funds 

In this context, investors showed positive sentiment on stocks, with even more enthusiasm than last month: equity funds took in €16.7 billion, their second-best monthly result in terms of flows since January 2022. This was a one-sided story, with passive strategies taking in €19.3 billion of net inflows in the month, while active equity funds shed €2.6 billion, marking the 17th month of net outflows over the past 18 for active equity strategies. (May 2024 was the only positive month.)

Bond funds, for their part, attracted €26.9 billion of net new subscriptions in August, the 21st month of positive flows out of the last 22. Both active and passive strategies shared the spoils, with €21.1 billion and €5.8 billion of net inflows, respectively.

Allocation strategies continued to bleed assets, with €3 billion of net outflows in August. Allocation strategies have had only one positive month in terms of flows since December 2022. Meanwhile, alternative funds returned to positive territory with €663 million of net inflows in the month. This asset class has experienced only two positive months in terms of flows since May 2022.

On the other hand, commodities funds shed €299 million, which owed to the €240 net million withdrawn from broad basket products and the €120 million from precious metals exchange-traded commodities.

Finally, money market funds had €62 billion of new subscriptions, their strongest monthly result since October 2022.  

Active Vs Passive Management

Long-term index funds recorded inflows of €24.7 billion in August, compared with €15 billion raised by actively managed funds. (The table below includes only the major category groups).

The market share of long-term passive funds stood at 28.8% in August 2024 from 25.5% in August 2023. When including money market funds, which are the domain of active managers, the market share of index funds stood at 25.1% from 22.3% 12 months earlier.

Purest ESG Strategies See Outflows

Funds falling within the scope of Article 8 of the Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation had net inflows of €8.3 billion in August, the fourth consecutive positive month in terms of flows. Global large-cap blend equity and USD flexible-bond funds were the main drivers. At the same time, funds falling under Article 9 ("dark green" strategies) shed €587 million, marking their 11th consecutive month of net outflows.

From an organic growth perspective, Article 8 funds showed a 1.29% organic growth rate for the year to date. On the other hand, products in the Article 9 group saw a negative 3.97% organic growth rate over the same period. Between January and August, funds not considered to be Article 8 or Article 9 according to the SFDR had average organic growth rates ranging from 0.75% to 4.87%.  

Winners And Losers Among Asset Managers

Below are the ten fund houses that raised the most and the least in Europe in August 2024, with detail between passive and active management (money market funds excluded).

Find out which categories, funds and companies experienced biggest inflows and outflows. Click here to download the full report.

The analysis was conducted with the platform for financial professionals, Morningstar Direct. Click here to learn more about its features.

Data Notes

The figures in this report were compiled on Sept. 17, 2024, and reflect only the funds that had reported net assets by that date. Approximately 31,300 Europe-domiciled open-end funds and exchange-traded funds that Morningstar tracks from more than 2,900 fund companies across 36 domiciles were included. Organic growth rate is flows as a percentage of beginning assets.

Methodology

Morningstar computes flows using the approach that is standard in the industry: Estimated net flow is the change in assets not explained by the performance of the fund. Our method assumes that flows occur uniformly over the course of the month. Adjustments for mergers are performed automatically. When liquidated funds are included, the final assets of the fund are counted as outflows. Reinvested dividends are not counted as inflows. We use fund-level reinvestment rates to improve accuracy in this respect. We make ad hoc adjustments for unusual corporate actions, such as reverse share splits, and we overwrite our estimates with actual flows if managers are willing to provide the data to us.

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The information contained within is for educational and informational purposes ONLY. It is not intended nor should it be considered an invitation or inducement to buy or sell a security or securities noted within nor should it be viewed as a communication intended to persuade or incite you to buy or sell security or securities noted within. Any commentary provided is the opinion of the author and should not be considered a personalised recommendation. The information contained within should not be a person's sole basis for making an investment decision. Please contact your financial professional before making an investment decision.

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About Author

Valerio Baselli

Valerio Baselli  is Senior International Editor at Morningstar.

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