Each month, we screen the Europe-listed stocks under Morningstar’s coverage for newly undervalued names.
Over the past month, 25 stocks saw their Morningstar Ratings change to 4 stars, while another five dropped into 5-star territory. Stocks rated 3 stars are fairly valued according to Morningstar analysts, while those rated 1 or 2 stars are considered overvalued.
The five new 5-star European stocks, ordered by market-cap, are:
· Rheinmetall RHM
· Carnival CCL
· Melrose Industries MRO
· Puma PUM
· ASOS ASC
The five new 4-star European stocks with the largest market capitalization are:
· Novo Nordisk NOVO B
· Ericsson ERIC B
· HSBC Holdings HSBA
· BP BP.
· Rolls-Royce Holdings RR.
The full list of new 4-star stocks can be found at the bottom of this story. All returns in this article are reported in the stock’s base currency and all data is sourced from Morningstar Direct.
Newly Undervalued Stocks as of March 18
The Morningstar Europe Index fell 0.25% over the past month, leaving the overall European stock market significantly undervalued, hovering at a 63% discount to its fair value estimate on a cap-weighted basis.
Of the 298 Europe-listed stocks covered by Morningstar analysts:
· 42% are undervalued, 39% are fairly valued, and 18% are overvalued.
· 26 are newly undervalued.
· 13 are newly overvalued.
· Four moved from a 4-star rating to a 5-star rating.
· Four moved from a 5-star rating to a 4-star rating.
· Among the newly undervalued stocks, one jumped from a 3-star rating to a 5-star rating.
· 24 are no longer undervalued.
Morningstar analysts assign every stock under their coverage a fair value estimate, which is an intrinsic measure of the stock’s worth, and an Uncertainty Rating, which captures the range of potential outcomes for that estimate. A higher Uncertainty Rating equates to a larger range of prices considered fairly valued.
These two metrics and the stock’s current price, are used to determine its Morningstar Rating.
Distribution of Star Ratings for Europe-Listed Stocks
Source: Morningstar Direct. Data as of March 18, 2025.
Metrics for this Month’s New 5-Star Stocks
Rheinmetall RHM
· Morningstar Rating: ★★★★★
· One-Month Return: 55.63%
Aerospace and defense company Rheinmetall has climbed 135.73% over the past three months and 206.33% over the past year. The fair value estimate for Rheinmetall rose to EUR 2,220 from EUR 870 during the month. It ended the month trading at a 35% discount to its new fair value estimate, with an Uncertainty Rating of Medium. Rheinmetall is a large-growth company with a wide economic moat.
Read more about Morningstar’s recent fair value upgrade of Rheinmetall in this story.
Carnival CCL
· Morningstar Rating: ★★★★★
· One-Month Return: -24.28%
Travel services company Carnival has lost 24.70% over the past three months and gained 20.24% over the past year. The large-core stock has a narrow economic moat. Carnival is trading at a 45% discount to its fair value estimate of GBX 2,560, with an Uncertainty Rating of High.
Melrose Industries MRO
· Morningstar Rating: ★★★★★
· One-Month Return: -18.29%
Specialty industrial machinery firm Melrose Industries has dropped 4.26% over the past three months and 13.44% over the past year. The fair value estimate for Melrose rose to GBX 800 from GBX 740 during the month. It ended the month trading at a 34% discount to its new fair value estimate, with an Uncertainty Rating of Medium. Melrose is a mid-growth company with a wide economic moat.
Puma PUM
· Morningstar Rating: ★★★★★
· One-Month Return: -18.51%
Accessory firm Puma has lost 47.22% over the past three months and 40.23% over the past year. The mid-value stock has no economic moat. The fair value estimate for Puma was cut to EUR 46.50 from EUR 48 during the month. It ended the month trading at a 48% discount to its new fair value estimate, with an Uncertainty Rating of High.
ASOS ASC
· Morningstar Rating: ★★★★★
· One-Month Return: -33.90%
Internet retail company ASOS is down 40.08% over the past three months and 28.70% over the past year. The stock’s price is 62% below its fair value estimate of GBX 640, with an Uncertainty Rating of Very High. The small-value stock has no economic moat.
Metrics for this Month’s New 4-Star Stocks
Novo Nordisk NOVO B
· Morningstar Rating: ★★★★
· One-Month Return: -6.37%
Drug manufacturer Novo Nordisk has dropped 28.77% over the past three months and 39.22% over the past year. The stock is trading at a 14% discount to its fair value estimate of DKK 640, with an Uncertainty Rating of High. Novo Nordisk is a large-growth company with a wide economic moat.
Ericsson ERIC B
· Morningstar Rating: ★★★★
· One-Month Return: -2.39%
Communication equipment firm Ericsson is down 7.98% over the past three months and up 54.94% over the past year. The stock’s price is 12% below its fair value estimate of SEK 95, with an Uncertainty Rating of Medium. The large-value stock has no economic moat.
HSBC Holdings HSBA
· Morningstar Rating: ★★★★
· One-Month Return: 2.73%
The bank HSBC has gained 20.15% over the past three months and 62.12% over the past year. The large-value stock has no economic moat. The fair value estimate for HSBC rose to GBX 980 from GBX 878 during the month. It ended the month trading at a 9% discount to its new fair value estimate, with an Uncertainty Rating of Medium.
BP BP.
· Morningstar Rating: ★★★★
· One-Month Return: -4.03%
Oil and gas firm BP is up 15.75% over the past three months and down 6.19% over the past year. The fair value estimate for BP rose to GBX 511 from GBX 490 during the month. It ended the month trading at a 14% discount to its new fair value estimate, with an Uncertainty Rating of High. The large-value stock has no economic moat.
Rolls-Royce Holdings RR.
· Morningstar Rating: ★★★★
· One-Month Return: 25.88%
Aerospace and defense company Rolls-Royce has climbed 38.24% over the past three months and 108.00% over the past year. The fair value estimate for Rolls-Royce rose to GBX 960 from GBX 380 during the month. It ended the month trading at a 16% discount to its new fair value estimate, with an Uncertainty Rating of High. Rolls-Royce is a large-growth company with a narrow economic moat.
This article was generated with the help of automation and reviewed by Morningstar editors. Learn more about Morningstar’s use of automation.
The author or authors do not own shares in any securities mentioned in this article. Find out about Morningstar's editorial policies.