How Currency has Boosted Investments Post-Brexit

In the weeks since Britain voted to leave the EU both stock markets and bond prices have divided - with some rallying significantly and others falling fast

Richard Whitehall 8 July, 2016 | 2:20PM
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Richard Whitehall: It's now been over two weeks since U.K. voted to leave the European Union. A period characterised by uncertainty, political, economic, social and financial.

Well the future now is maybe even more uncertain than usual, we can look back and say how different asset classes have performed and the effects of asset allocation on investor's portfolios.

Currency exposure has been absolutely crucial. The pound has fallen versus the U.K.'s main trading partners and now is around $1.30 having been around $1.45 before the referendum. So foreign currency assets have performed extremely well for U.K. investors.

Some U.K. based assets have lost value as investors have concerns on how the U.K. economy can cope with uncertainty and repercussions if the U.K. leaves the EU. U.K. listed mid-caps for example have on average fallen by around 9%. And many U.K. commercial property funds have lowered their valuations and have also suffered from redemptions as investors have tried to remove money.

In contrast U.K. based assets considered safer have performed strongly. Government bonds which prior were considered already expensive have actually been in high demand, with broad indices returning around 5%. And therefore portfolios have been diversified into overseas assets had exposure to foreign currencies and had allocations to government bonds have performed relatively well. Whereas portfolios that are highly concentrated in U.K. assets have tended to perform relatively poorly.

The information contained within is for educational and informational purposes ONLY. It is not intended nor should it be considered an invitation or inducement to buy or sell a security or securities noted within nor should it be viewed as a communication intended to persuade or incite you to buy or sell security or securities noted within. Any commentary provided is the opinion of the author and should not be considered a personalised recommendation. The information contained within should not be a person's sole basis for making an investment decision. Please contact your financial professional before making an investment decision.

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Richard Whitehall

Richard Whitehall  is a portfolio manager for Morningstar Investment Management

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