How You Can Overcome a Tough Market Environment

Private investors should never try to emulate market traders - speculating on the hourly dips. But there are some simple actions you can take when the stock market is unpredictable

Christine Benz 27 August, 2015 | 10:41AM
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"Don't Just Do Something, Stand There!" 

Those words of wisdom have been attributed to everyone from Clint Eastwood to Alice in Wonderland's White Rabbit. But whatever their provenance, they can be incredibly useful, especially when it comes to your investments.

After all, the whole point of setting up a sensible asset-allocation framework and populating it with sturdy investments is so that your portfolio can hold up in varying market conditions and doesn't need babysitting.

Meanwhile, volatile markets can be a breeding ground for knee-jerk investment decisions motivated by emotions more than fundamentals; undertaking a major portfolio renovation in such trying times is usually not a good idea. 

That said, tough markets have a way of making us feel powerless; as though important parts of our futures, whether our retirement date or our kids' school choices, are out of our hands. To regain a sense of control, it's natural to want to do something, anything. 

Morningstar’s  Jason Stipp recently outlined some productive ideas for investors who want to take back control, including checking up on your portfolio's asset allocation and the adequacy of your liquid reserves, as well as staying attuned to potential bargains that can crop up when market participants overshoot on the downside.

But I'd add one more item to the to-do list for investors seeking control in uncertain times: go for the sure things. I don't mean to pull all of your money out of stocks and bonds and steer them toward cash. Cash is the right choice for short-term spending needs, but it's a guaranteed money-loser for longer time frames once inflation is factored in.

Instead, I mean increasing your investment contributions if you're still accumulating assets for retirement and reducing your spending if you're retired. Working to reduce your investment-related costs – including any tax bill – is another "sure thing" way to improve your portfolio's long-run results even if the market isn't cooperative over your holding period. 

Higher Contributions More Than Offset Weak Market Returns

Saving more and/or spending less during weak markets appeals on an emotional level, as we humans naturally tend to want to spend more when we're feeling flush and conserve resources when they are scarce. Moreover, changes to savings and spending habits needn't be radical to have an impact. For example, an investor who puts away £100 a month for 30 years and earns a generous 7% return will have more than £122,000 at the end of that time period.

But the investor who earns just a 5% return but makes larger ongoing investments of £150 a month will have nearly £125,000 30 years later. Ideally, you'd do the higher contribution amount and earn the higher return, but the higher contribution rate is within your control; the market's return is not.

The maths works the same for retirees who are actively withdrawing from their portfolios: even modest adjustments to their spending rates during tough markets can greatly improve their portfolios' sustainability. A T. Rowe Price study following the bear market demonstrated how retirees withdrawing 4% a year from their pension pot but forgoing inflation adjustments during weak market years would have greatly improved the long-run sustainability of their portfolios. Alternatively, retirees could tie their withdrawals to their portfolios' performance by withdrawing a fixed percentage per year, restricted by a "ceiling" and "floor”.

Managing Costs Helps, Too

Of course, saving more and spending less might seem like pure drudgery. The good news is that they're not the only sure-fire ways to improve your portfolio's results in a tough market. Controlling the full spectrum of costs you pay – both direct investment costs as well as to the taxman – also works to boost your portfolio's return potential without requiring you to engage in any fancy and potentially unsuccessful market exercises.

Assuming you haven't already done so, you can also improve your portfolio's return potential by selling any investments that charge more than 1.25% and swapping into lower-cost alternatives such as index funds and exchange-traded funds, which can be had for just a tiny fraction of that amount.

There's no guarantee that the low-cost investments will outperform the higher-cost ones, but Morningstar data demonstrate that low costs are the best predictor of a fund's success or failure. You should also be mindful or any capital gains tax incurred for selling funds if they are held outside of a SIPP or ISA wrapper.

On the subject of tax – tax management is another easy way for investors to seize control in uncertain times. Investors can reduce the drag of taxes by taking full advantage of tax-sheltered vehicles, paying attention to which types of assets they place in which account types, and sensible withdrawal sequencing in retirement.

"Don't Just Do Something, Stand There!" 

Those words of wisdom have been attributed to everyone from Clint Eastwood to Alice in Wonderland's White Rabbit. But whatever their provenance, they can be incredibly useful, especially when it comes to your investments.

After all, the whole point of setting up a sensible asset-allocation framework and populating it with sturdy investments is so that your portfolio can hold up in varying market conditions and doesn't need babysitting.

Meanwhile, volatile markets can be a breeding ground for knee-jerk investment decisions motivated by emotions more than fundamentals; undertaking a major portfolio renovation in such trying times is usually not a good idea. 

That said, tough markets have a way of making us feel powerless; as though important parts of our futures, whether our retirement date or our kids' school choices, are out of our hands. To regain a sense of control, it's natural to want to do something, anything. 

Morningstar’s  Jason Stipp recently outlined some productive ideas for investors who want to take back control, including checking up on your portfolio's asset allocation and the adequacy of your liquid reserves, as well as staying attuned to potential bargains that can crop up when market participants overshoot on the downside.

But I'd add one more item to the to-do list for investors seeking control in uncertain times: go for the sure things. I don't mean to pull all of your money out of stocks and bonds and steer them toward cash. Cash is the right choice for short-term spending needs, but it's a guaranteed money-loser for longer time frames once inflation is factored in.

Instead, I mean increasing your investment contributions if you're still accumulating assets for retirement and reducing your spending if you're retired. Working to reduce your investment-related costs – including any tax bill – is another "sure thing" way to improve your portfolio's long-run results even if the market isn't cooperative over your holding period. 

Higher Contributions More Than Offset Weak Market Returns

Saving more and/or spending less during weak markets appeals on an emotional level, as we humans naturally tend to want to spend more when we're feeling flush and conserve resources when they are scarce. Moreover, changes to savings and spending habits needn't be radical to have an impact. For example, an investor who puts away £100 a month for 30 years and earns a generous 7% return will have more than £122,000 at the end of that time period.

But the investor who earns just a 5% return but makes larger ongoing investments of £150 a month will have nearly £125,000 30 years later. Ideally, you'd do the higher contribution amount and earn the higher return, but the higher contribution rate is within your control; the market's return is not.

The maths works the same for retirees who are actively withdrawing from their portfolios: even modest adjustments to their spending rates during tough markets can greatly improve their portfolios' sustainability. A T. Rowe Price study following the bear market demonstrated how retirees withdrawing 4% a year from their pension pot but forgoing inflation adjustments during weak market years would have greatly improved the long-run sustainability of their portfolios. Alternatively, retirees could tie their withdrawals to their portfolios' performance by withdrawing a fixed percentage per year, restricted by a "ceiling" and "floor”.

Managing Costs Helps, Too

Of course, saving more and spending less might seem like pure drudgery. The good news is that they're not the only sure-fire ways to improve your portfolio's results in a tough market. Controlling the full spectrum of costs you pay – both direct investment costs as well as to the taxman – also works to boost your portfolio's return potential without requiring you to engage in any fancy and potentially unsuccessful market exercises.

Assuming you haven't already done so, you can also improve your portfolio's return potential by selling any investments that charge more than 1.25% and swapping into lower-cost alternatives such as index funds and exchange-traded funds, which can be had for just a tiny fraction of that amount.

There's no guarantee that the low-cost investments will outperform the higher-cost ones, but Morningstar data demonstrate that low costs are the best predictor of a fund's success or failure. You should also be mindful or any capital gains tax incurred for selling funds if they are held outside of a SIPP or ISA wrapper.

On the subject of tax – tax management is another easy way for investors to seize control in uncertain times. Investors can reduce the drag of taxes by taking full advantage of tax-sheltered vehicles, paying attention to which types of assets they place in which account types, and sensible withdrawal sequencing in retirement.

This article originally appeared on Morningstar.com but has been edited for a UK audience

The information contained within is for educational and informational purposes ONLY. It is not intended nor should it be considered an invitation or inducement to buy or sell a security or securities noted within nor should it be viewed as a communication intended to persuade or incite you to buy or sell security or securities noted within. Any commentary provided is the opinion of the author and should not be considered a personalised recommendation. The information contained within should not be a person's sole basis for making an investment decision. Please contact your financial professional before making an investment decision.

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About Author

Christine Benz

Christine Benz  is director of personal finance at Morningstar and author of 30-Minute Money Solutions: A Step-by-Step Guide to Managing Your Finances.

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