It’s been a busy few weeks for equity investors, with hundreds of companies reporting results and endless accounts to digest. Helping you sort the critical investment news from the market noise, Morningstar analysts have been publishing their reactions to company earnings each day; in addition to our previous report on banking sector results, below are highlights from some of the UK’s largest listed companies.
Consumer Defensives
British American Tobacco (BATS)
British American Tobacco's interim 2014 results were very close to our expectations and we are reiterating our 3,500 pence-per-share fair value estimate. It was a robust start to the year, with the firm continuing to outperform Philip Morris in several geographies, lending support to our belief that the firm has a wide economic moat.
Diageo's fiscal 2014 results implied an apparent stabilisation following the disappointment of the third quarter sales figures. With macroeconomic headwinds from the slowdown in emerging markets and the more structural challenges from the extravagance crackdown in China, 2014 was a below-par year for Diageo. Nevertheless, we regard most of the current issues as cyclical in nature, and with the shares modestly undervalued, we recommend long-term investors take a close look at Diageo. We are reiterating our 1,950-pence fair value estimate and our wide economic moat rating.
Energy
BP's solid second-quarter results were overwhelmed by negative news out of Russia, causing the shares to sell off more than 3%. The preceding two days had seen additional sanctions enacted by the EU and US as well as a $50 billion ruling against the Russian government by a Hague tribunal for the 2003-05 expropriation of oil company Yukos' key assets. These assets are now owned by Russia's state oil company Rosneft, of which BP owns 19.75%.
Almost all of BP's value lies outside Russia, and here the company's outlook continues to improve. Indeed, we are slightly raising our fair value estimate to 590 pence a share to reflect the company's continued operational progress and the recent rise in oil prices. Critically, our long-held expectation of rising cash flows and dividends is achievable with or without Rosneft's cash dividends (2% of BP's cash flow).
Utilities
National Grid management said operational and financial performance was in line with its expectations during the fiscal first quarter. Management reaffirmed its 2014-15 fiscal-year guidance, long-term dividend policy, and capital investment plans. We are reaffirming our 810-pence fair value estimate for the UK shares. We also are reaffirming our narrow moat and stable moat trend ratings.
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