CME Group Inc CME StarRatingValueLabel_2Michael Miller, CFA - Equity Analyst - Morningstar Inc.

Last Price
261.54
Day Change
3.15|1.22%

As of 11/04/2025
19:45:37 EDT | USD  Minimum 15 Minutes Delay.

Bid/OfferDay RangeVolume90d Ave VolMkt Cap
256.55 - 264.82258.89 - 264.452,756,9922,458,18594.25Bil
Last Close52 Week RangeP/EYield %ISIN
258.39190.70 - 273.4227.054.01US12572Q1058

Morningstar's Take CME

CME Group enjoyed favorable market conditions in 2024 as volatility across multiple asset classes drove increased trading volume, leading to strong revenue growth. Before 2023, the most significant headwind for the company had been the impact that low short-term interest rates had on its interest-rate futures, which are its largest source of revenue. When interest rates are expected to stay low, there is less need for interest-rate hedging and less incentive for speculation, creating a drag on CME's trading volume. However, since 2023 this complacency has been replaced by heightened uncertainty, swinging interest-rate futures volume from a cyclical low to a cyclical high, driving accelerated growth. That said, we think this tailwind has mostly played out, and we expect interest-rate futures growth to be slower as conditions normalize.

Fair Value Estimate

Premium

Uncertainty

Premium

Economic Moat

Premium

Financial Strength

Financial Strength
There is no one analyst in which a Quantitative Fair Value Estimate is attributed to; however, Mr. Lee Davidson, Head of Quantitative Research for Morningstar, Inc., is responsible for overseeing the methodology that supports the quantitative fair value. As an employee of Morningstar, Inc., Mr. Davidson is guided by Morningstar, Inc.’s Code of Ethics and Personal Securities Trading Policy in carrying out his responsibilities. For information regarding Conflicts of Interests, click here.
Michael Miller, CFA - Equity Analyst - Morningstar Inc.
The conduct of Morningstar's analysts is governed by Morningstar's Code of Ethics, Securities Trading and Disclosure Policy, and Investment Research Integrity Policy. For information regarding conflicts of interest, please click here.
Fair Value is derived from a detailed projection of a company’s future cash flows. Analysts create custom industry and company assumptions to feed income statement, balance sheet, and capital investment assumptions into a proprietary discounted cash flow modeling template. Scenario analysis, in-depth competitive advantage analysis, and a variety of other analytical tools are used to augment the discounted cash flow process. Combining analysts’ financial forecasts with the firm’s economic moat helps us assess how long returns on invested capital are likely to exceed the firm’s cost of capital. Because we are modeling free cash flow to the firm—representing cash available to provide a return to all capital providers—we discount future cash flows using the weighted average of the costs of equity, debt, and preferred stock (and any other funding sources), using expected future proportionate long-term, market-value weights. If our base-case assumptions are true the market price will converge on our fair value estimate over time, generally within three years. Investments in securities are subject to market and other risks. Past performance of a security may or may not be sustained in future and is no indication of future performance. For detail information about the Qualitative Fair Value, please click here.
Financials
202220232024
more...
Income Statement
Revenue5,019.405,578.906,130.10
Operating Income3,015.903,435.703,931.50
Net Income2,691.003,226.203,525.80
Basic EPS7.418.879.69
Avg. Diluted Shares Outstanding359360360
Balance Sheet
Current Assets139,078.3094,890.20103,033.50
Non Current Assets35,097.4034,815.9034,413.50
Total Assets174,175.70129,706.10137,447.00
Current Liabilities137,687.5093,416.90102,313.90
Total Liabilities---
Total Equity26,878.7026,737.9026,486.90
Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow3,056.003,453.803,690.50
Capital Expenditure-89.70-76.40-94.00
Free Cash Flow2,966.303,377.403,596.50

In millions, except "Basic EPS". Currency is USD.

Company Profile

Based in Chicago, CME Group operates exchanges giving investors, suppliers, and businesses the ability to trade futures and derivatives based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign currencies, energy, metals, and commodities. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange was founded in 1898 and in 2002 completed its IPO. Since then, CME Group has consolidated parts of the industry by merging with crosstown rival CBOT Holdings in 2007 before acquiring Nymex Holdings in 2008 and NEX in 2018. In addition, the company has a 27% stake in S&P Dow Jones Indices, making the Chicago Mercantile Exchange the exclusive venue to trade and clear S&P futures contracts. Through CME’s acquisition of NEX, it also expanded into cash foreign exchange, fixed-income trading, and collateral optimization.

Sector

Financial Services

Industry

Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Stock Style

Large-Value

Fiscal Year Ends

December

Employees

3,760
Key Stats
more...
Price/Earning TTM26.67
Price/Book3.52
Price/Sales TTM15.17
Rev Growth (3 year avg)9.34
EPS Growth (3 year avg)-
Operating Margin % TTM64.13
Net Margin % TTM57.52
ROE TTM13.08
Debt/Equity0.10
Dividends
PreviousLatest
Declared Date05/12/2406/02/25
Ex-Div27/12/2407/03/25
Paid16/01/2526/03/25
Amnt5.801.25
Michael Miller, CFA - Equity Analyst - Morningstar Inc.
The conduct of Morningstar's analysts is governed by Morningstar's Code of Ethics, Securities Trading and Disclosure Policy, and Investment Research Integrity Policy. For information regarding conflicts of interest, please click here.
Fair Value is derived from a detailed projection of a company’s future cash flows. Analysts create custom industry and company assumptions to feed income statement, balance sheet, and capital investment assumptions into a proprietary discounted cash flow modeling template. Scenario analysis, in-depth competitive advantage analysis, and a variety of other analytical tools are used to augment the discounted cash flow process. Combining analysts’ financial forecasts with the firm’s economic moat helps us assess how long returns on invested capital are likely to exceed the firm’s cost of capital. Because we are modeling free cash flow to the firm—representing cash available to provide a return to all capital providers—we discount future cash flows using the weighted average of the costs of equity, debt, and preferred stock (and any other funding sources), using expected future proportionate long-term, market-value weights. If our base-case assumptions are true the market price will converge on our fair value estimate over time, generally within three years. Investments in securities are subject to market and other risks. Past performance of a security may or may not be sustained in future and is no indication of future performance. For detail information about the Qualitative Fair Value, please click here.
© Copyright 2025 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Terms of Use        Privacy Policy        Modern Slavery Statement        Cookie Settings        Disclosures