Predictions are a fool’s game. If anyone could accurately predict exactly what will happen in global stock and bond markets over the next 12 months, they probably wouldn’t be sharing the information. But it is possible to make informed decisions about the here-and-now; current market valuations, political backdrops, and marry that information with future probabilities.
While the final Brexit agreement is not yet signed for example, we do know that 70% of FTSE 100-listed UK company revenues are from overseas, so are less likely to be impacted by even a bad deal. We know that the recent oil price slump has impacted energy companies’ valuations.
Central banks across the world have offered guidance on where they expect to move interest rates over 2019 – and where applicable, what they intend to do with quantitative easing programmes. We are also aware of the mega-trends shaping the global economy; demographics, urbanisation, climate change.
Armed with this knowledge, investors – professional and DIY alike – can form an idea of what they might expect from 2019. We share some of these outlooks below.
Monday: Developed Market Equities
What can investors expect from the US, UK, Europe and Japanese stock markets
US Stocks Still Overvalued, UK a Buying Opportunity
Could the FTSE Hit 8,000 in 2019?
How to Invest in the Face of Risk in 2019
No Deal Brexit Could Lead to Recession, says Axa
Tuesday: New Year’s Day
Markets are closed, and so are we
Wednesday: Emerging Market Equities
Asia, Africa, Latin American, Russia and Eastern Europe
Emerging Markets Offer Growth But Also Risk
Russia Offers Attractive Valuations
6 Biggest and Best Asian Equity Funds
Brazil Poised for Profit, but Mexico and Argentina Uncertain
What Will Trigger an Emerging Market Rally in 2019?
Thursday: Fixed Income
How central banks and economic backdrops will impact bonds
Gilts and T-Bonds Expensive, EM Bonds Offer Value
How Many Times Will the Fed Raise Rates in 2019?
2019 Will Be a Difficult Year for Markets says Psigma
Stocks and Bonds to Rise in 2019
Friday: Alternatives
Property, gold, cash and infrastructure
Is Now a Good Time to Hold Cash?
Mixed Year Ahead for UK Property
Should Nervous Investors Buy Gold?
Will PFI End Derail Infrastructure Funds?